Match dossier

Benfica vs Lech Poznan Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026 · 21:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Benfica

1st in table · 9 pts

WWWWW

Thu, 5 Nov 202621:00

vs

Not startedTip: Over 3.5 · 1.80

Lech Poznan

32nd in table · 1 pts

WDWLW

Pre-match win probability

78.9%Benfica13.3%Draw7.8%Lech Poznan

Our prediction

Over 3.5 · Benfica

Benfica vs Lech Poznan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.80
Confidence55.6%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 78.9%
  • Draw 13.3%
  • Lech Poznan 7.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free 2 oddsOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaLech Poznan
Goals scored (avg)
2.72.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.7
Wins
30
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 2 NovBenfica1 – 0AlvercaW
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaW
Lech Poznan5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctLech Poznan3 – 1Wisla KrakowW
  • 28 OctSiarka Tarnobrzeg1 – 0Lech PoznanL
  • 25 OctLegia Warszawa1 – 2Lech PoznanW
  • 22 OctLech Poznan1 – 1SunderlandD
  • 18 OctLech Poznan6 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 10 OctSlask Wroclaw1 – 4Lech PoznanW
  • 3 OctLech Poznan2 – 2Energie CottbusD
  • 20 SeptLech Poznan5 – 1Radomiak RadomW
  • 17 SeptCrystal Palace4 – 0Lech PoznanL
H2H
Head to headBenfica 2W · 0D · Lech Poznan 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 3 DecBenfica4 – 0Lech Poznan
  • 22 OctLech Poznan2 – 4Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.1% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18.4% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
3.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes49.2%
No50.8%

Double chance

1X46.3%
1243.7%
X210%

Match result

Benfica1.18
Draw7
Lech Poznan12

Both teams to score

Yes49.2% · 1.91
No50.8% · 1.85

1X

Chance46.3%
Odds1.04

12

Chance43.7%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance10%
Odds4.8

Benfica

Chance78.9%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance13.3%
Odds7

Lech Poznan

Chance7.8%
Odds12

First half result

Benfica60% · 1.5
Draw31% · 2.9
Lech Poznan9% · 10

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.2

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 3.5 at 1.80

BenficaLech Poznan
Recent form61%39%
Attack54%46%
Defence63%37%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

Benfica meet Lech Poznan in the World, UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.3, about 72.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.85. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 74% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

Benfica are listed at 50 points per game. Lech Poznan are listed at 0 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Benfica vs Lech Poznan match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.3 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.