Match dossier

Benfica vs Celtic Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Benfica

1st in table · 9 pts

WWWWW

Thu, 15 Oct 202620:00

4 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.27

Celtic

35th in table · 0 pts

WLWDL

Pre-match win probability

76.5%Benfica15.3%Draw8.2%Celtic

Our prediction

1 · Benfica

Benfica vs Celtic listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence76.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 76.5%
  • Draw 15.3%
  • Celtic 8.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1Odds 1.27Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.2779%Won
  • free 2 oddsOver 2.5Odds 1.75Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.5863%Lost
  • Single Bet1Odds 1.2779%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • Banker of the Day1Odds 1.2779%Won

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaCeltic
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.7
Wins
30
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica8W 0D 1L in last 9
  • 2 NovBenfica1 – 0AlvercaW
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaW
Celtic3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovFalkirk2 – 0CelticL
  • 28 OctCeltic2 – 2Dundee UtdD
  • 25 OctHibernian1 – 2CelticW
  • 22 OctCeltic1 – 2Celta VigoL
  • 18 OctCeltic7 – 1Heart Of MidlothianW
  • 11 OctMotherwell0 – 2CelticW
  • 20 SeptCeltic0 – 1RangersL
  • 17 SeptCeltic1 – 3Ferencvarosi TCL
  • 13 SeptRangers3 – 0CelticL
H2H
Head to headBenfica 1W · 1D · Celtic 0W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 20 NovBenfica2 – 1Celtic
  • 19 SeptCeltic0 – 0Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Benfica1.27
Draw6.33
Celtic11.9

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Benfica

Chance76.5%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance15.3%
Odds6.33

Celtic

Chance8.2%
Odds11.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.27

BenficaCeltic
Recent form71%29%
Attack60%40%
Defence63%37%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall90%10%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Benfica vs Celtic: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Benfica meet Celtic in the World, UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Celtic FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Benfica vs Celtic match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Benfica vs Celtic?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 76.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.