Match dossier

Benfica vs Aarhus Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 20 Aug 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Benfica

2nd in table · 9 pts

WWWWW

Thu, 20 Aug 202620:00

3 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 3.5 · 1.88

Aarhus

DDWWL

Pre-match win probability

81.3%Benfica12.6%Draw6%Aarhus

Our prediction

Over 3.5 · Benfica

Benfica vs Aarhus listed tip from the board.

Odds1.88
Confidence53.19%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 81.3%
  • Draw 12.6%
  • Aarhus 6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5Odds 1.8853%Won

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaAarhus
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.1
Wins
3–
Played
3–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 2 NovBenfica1 – 0AlvercaW
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaW
Aarhus5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovBrondby2 – 0AarhusL
  • 28 OctRoskilde1 – 2AarhusW
  • 25 OctAarhus2 – 1ViborgW
  • 22 OctAarhus1 – 1Egnatia RrogozhinëD
  • 18 OctFC Copenhagen1 – 1AarhusD
  • 15 OctGent1 – 0AarhusL
  • 12 OctAarhus3 – 0SonderjyskeW
  • 2 OctAarhus2 – 1Vendsyssel FFW
  • 20 SeptAC Horsens2 – 2AarhusD
  • 16 SeptSkjold Sæby1 – 6AarhusW
H2H
Head to headBenfica 1W · 0D · Aarhus 0W · 4 goals a game
  • 27 AugAarhus1 – 3Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Benfica1.19
Draw7.65
Aarhus16

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Benfica

Chance81.3%
Odds1.19

Draw

Chance12.6%
Odds7.65

Aarhus

Chance6%
Odds16

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 3.5 at 1.88

BenficaAarhus
Recent form60%40%
Attack59%41%
Defence54%46%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Benfica vs Aarhus: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 20 Aug 2026

Benfica meet Aarhus in the World, UEFA Europa League on 20 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.19. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 81.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Aarhus FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Benfica vs Aarhus match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Benfica vs Aarhus?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.19. The margin-adjusted share is about 81.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.