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Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg Predictions

Germany · DFB Pokal · Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · DFB PokalWed, 28 Oct 2026

Bayer Leverkusen

WWWLL

Wed, 28 Oct 202620:45

5 : 2

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.88

1. FC Nürnberg

WDDLW

Pre-match win probability

81.6%Bayer Leverkusen11.5%Draw6.9%1. FC Nürnberg

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.88
Confidence53.19%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bayer Leverkusen 81.6%
  • Draw 11.5%
  • 1. FC Nürnberg 6.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.8853%Lost

Season statistics

DFB Pokal · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnberg
Goals scored (avg)
2.22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bayer Leverkusen6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctBayer Leverkusen2 – 4VfB StuttgartL
  • 25 Oct1899 Hoffenheim3 – 0Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 22 OctOFI0 – 2Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 18 OctBayer Leverkusen2 – 1SC FreiburgW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 20 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0RB LeipzigW
  • 16 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0CeljeW
  • 12 SeptFC Augsburg2 – 2Bayer LeverkusenD
1. FC Nürnberg5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovFC St. Pauli1 – 31. FC NürnbergW
  • 24 Oct1. FC Nürnberg0 – 11. FC KaiserslauternL
  • 16 OctEnergie Cottbus1 – 11. FC NürnbergD
  • 10 Oct1. FC Nürnberg4 – 4VfL WolfsburgD
  • 2 Oct1. FC Nürnberg3 – 1FC Ingolstadt 04W
  • 19 SeptKarlsruher SC0 – 11. FC NürnbergW
  • 11 Sept1. FC Nürnberg2 – 1Hannover 96W
  • 5 SeptHolstein Kiel2 – 21. FC NürnbergD
  • 29 Aug1. FC Nürnberg4 – 1Arminia BielefeldW
H2H
Head to headBayer Leverkusen 6W · 1D · 1. FC Nürnberg 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 20 AprBayer Leverkusen2 – 0FC Nurnberg
  • 3 DecFC Nurnberg1 – 1Bayer Leverkusen
  • 20 AprFC Nurnberg1 – 4Bayer Leverkusen
  • 30 NovBayer Leverkusen3 – 0FC Nurnberg
  • 4 MayFC Nurnberg0 – 2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 1 DecBayer Leverkusen1 – 0FC Nurnberg
  • 5 MayFC Nurnberg1 – 4Bayer Leverkusen
  • 17 DecBayer Leverkusen0 – 3FC Nurnberg
  • 5 FebFC Nurnberg1 – 0Bayer Leverkusen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Bayer Leverkusen1.14
Draw8.1
1. FC Nürnberg13.5

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance81.6%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance11.5%
Odds8.1

1. FC Nürnberg

Chance6.9%
Odds13.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.88

Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnberg
Recent form51%49%
Attack50%50%
Defence48%52%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall92%8%

Trends

Trend · DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction & preview

Germany · DFB Pokal · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Bayer Leverkusen meet 1. FC Nürnberg in the Germany, DFB Pokal on 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 81.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 28 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Bayer Leverkusen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 81.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.