Match dossier

Bastia vs Orleans Predictions

France · Ligue 3 · Thu, 1 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 3Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Bastia

11th in table · 15 pts

WDLDW

Thu, 1 Oct 202619:45

vs

Not startedTip: 1X · 1.29

Orleans

14th in table · 10 pts

LLDLD

Pre-match win probability

41.1%Bastia27.3%Draw31.6%Orleans

Our prediction

1X · Bastia

Bastia vs Orleans listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence77.52%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bastia 41.1%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Orleans 31.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2978%Pending
  • Win Either Half2Odds 2.0050%Pending

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BastiaOrleans
Goals scored (avg)
10.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.6
Wins
42
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bastia4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBastia2 – 0QuevillyW
  • 17 OctConcarneau1 – 1BastiaD
  • 26 SeptGobelins1 – 0BastiaL
  • 17 SeptBastia1 – 1CannesD
  • 12 SeptBourg-en-bresse 010 – 1BastiaW
  • 5 SeptBastia0 – 3AmiensL
  • 27 AugCaen0 – 1BastiaW
  • 20 AugBastia2 – 3VersaillesL
  • 14 AugAubagne0 – 1BastiaW
Orleans1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctOrleans1 – 1VillefrancheD
  • 17 OctQuevilly3 – 2OrleansL
  • 26 SeptOrleans0 – 0CannesD
  • 19 SeptAmiens2 – 0OrleansL
  • 12 SeptOrleans0 – 4VersaillesL
  • 5 SeptLe Puy Foot1 – 1OrleansD
  • 29 AugOrleans0 – 1La Roche VFL
  • 20 AugFleury 910 – 2OrleansW
  • 14 AugOrleans1 – 2RouenL
H2H
Head to headBastia 0W · 1D · Orleans 1W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 29 MarOrleans2 – 1Bastia
  • 23 OctBastia1 – 1Orleans

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Bastia2.32
Draw3.5
Orleans3.02

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Bastia

Chance41.1%
Odds2.32

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.5

Orleans

Chance31.6%
Odds3.02

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.29

BastiaOrleans
Recent form70%30%
Attack56%44%
Defence59%41%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 3

Bastia scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 3

Bastia conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 3

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 3

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Bastia vs Orleans: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Bastia meet Orleans in the France, Ligue 3 on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bastia at 2.32. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bastia vs Orleans FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bastia vs Orleans match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bastia vs Orleans?

Bastia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.32. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.