Match dossier

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 17 Oct 2026

Atletico Paranaense

5th in table · 54 pts

WDWDL

Sat, 17 Oct 202623:30

0 : 2

LiveTip: X2 · 1.42

Palmeiras

2nd in table · 70 pts

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

32.8%Atletico Paranaense28.4%Draw38.9%Palmeiras

Our prediction

X2 · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence70.42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 32.8%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Palmeiras 38.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4270%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7158%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.2031%Pending
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8036%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaensePalmeiras
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
20.7
Wins
1520
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Paranaense3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 12 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 4Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 20 SeptAtletico Paranaense2 – 1BahiaW
  • 12 SeptCoritiba3 – 3Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 6 SeptCruzeiro3 – 1Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 30 AugAtletico Paranaense3 – 3FluminenseD
  • 25 AugBotafogo2 – 3Atletico ParanaenseW
Palmeiras5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaW
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptLDU de Quito3 – 2PalmeirasL
H2H
Head to headAtletico Paranaense 3W · 2D · Palmeiras 4W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 19 AprPalmeiras1 – 0Atletico Paranaense
  • 1 SeptAtletico Paranaense0 – 2Palmeiras
  • 12 MayPalmeiras0 – 2Atletico Paranaense
  • 5 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Atletico Paranaense
  • 2 JulAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Palmeiras
  • 26 OctAtletico Paranaense1 – 3Palmeiras
  • 7 SeptPalmeiras2 – 2Atletico Paranaense
  • 31 AugAtletico Paranaense1 – 0Palmeiras
  • 3 JulPalmeiras0 – 2Atletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico Paranaense2.93
Draw3.38
Palmeiras2.47

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico Paranaense

Chance32.8%
Odds2.93

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.38

Palmeiras

Chance38.9%
Odds2.47

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.42

Atletico ParanaensePalmeiras
Recent form43%57%
Attack62%38%
Defence30%70%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall46%54%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Palmeiras in the Brazil, Serie A on 17 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 2.47. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.47. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.