Match dossier

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Paranaense

5th in table · 54 pts

WLDLL

Sun, 20 Sept 202623:30

vs

Not startedTip: X · 3.44

Bahia

6th in table · 53 pts

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

44.2%Atletico Paranaense27.9%Draw27.9%Bahia

Our prediction

X · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia listed tip from the board.

Odds3.44
Confidence68.00%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 44.2%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Bahia 27.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.4468%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6959%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2481%Pending
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2544%Pending
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.7536%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaenseBahia
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.3
Wins
1514
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Paranaense1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 4 NovAtletico Paranaense1 – 3Vasco DA GamaL
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 4Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 12 SeptCoritiba3 – 3Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 6 SeptCruzeiro3 – 1Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 30 AugAtletico Paranaense3 – 3FluminenseD
Bahia6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloW
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctBahia0 – 3FlamengoL
  • 11 OctBahia1 – 0MirassolW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaL
  • 15 SeptBahia2 – 1RemoW
  • 5 SeptRB Bragantino2 – 3BahiaW
  • 30 AugBahia3 – 2InternacionalW
  • 23 AugVitoria0 – 2BahiaW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Paranaense 3W · 2D · Bahia 4W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 2 AprBahia3 – 0Atletico Paranaense
  • 24 NovBahia1 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 10 JulAtletico Paranaense1 – 3Bahia
  • 12 NovBahia1 – 1Atletico Paranaense
  • 16 JulAtletico Paranaense2 – 0Bahia
  • 13 JulAtletico Paranaense2 – 1Bahia
  • 22 JunBahia1 – 2Atletico Paranaense
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2Bahia
  • 25 JunBahia2 – 1Atletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico Paranaense2.17
Draw3.44
Bahia3.44

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico Paranaense

Chance44.2%
Odds2.17

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.44

Bahia

Chance27.9%
Odds3.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.44

Atletico ParanaenseBahia
Recent form27%73%
Attack50%50%
Defence32%68%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense conceded 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Bahia in the Brazil, Serie A on 20 September 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Paranaense at 2.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

Atletico Paranaense is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.