Match dossier

Atletico-MG vs Gremio Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 16 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG

7th in table · 50 pts

LLLLL

Sun, 16 Aug 202620:00

vs

Not startedTip: 1X · 1.21

Gremio

18th in table · 37 pts

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

52.2%Atletico-MG26.7%Draw21.2%Gremio

Our prediction

1X · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.21
Confidence82.64%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 52.2%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • Gremio 21.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.2183%Pending
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2183%Pending
  • Single Bet1XOdds 1.2183%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.3343%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGGremio
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.4
Wins
149
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico-MG4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 5 NovBotafogo1 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 29 OctAtletico-MG0 – 1CruzeiroL
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGL
  • 21 OctAtletico Torque2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 17 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0CoritibaW
  • 14 OctAtletico-MG3 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 3 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0RB BragantinoW
Gremio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 4 NovFlamengo3 – 1GremioL
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGW
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioL
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
H2H
Head to headAtletico-MG 3W · 0D · Gremio 6W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 26 FebGremio2 – 1Atletico-MG
  • 17 AugAtletico-MG1 – 3Gremio
  • 29 MarGremio2 – 1Atletico-MG
  • 9 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1Gremio
  • 1 SeptGremio2 – 3Atletico-MG
  • 26 NovAtletico-MG3 – 0Gremio
  • 23 JulGremio1 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 10 DecGremio4 – 3Atletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico-MG1.84
Draw3.6
Gremio4.53

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico-MG

Chance52.2%
Odds1.84

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.6

Gremio

Chance21.2%
Odds4.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.21

Atletico-MGGremio
Recent form52%48%
Attack46%54%
Defence53%47%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.84. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico-MG vs Gremio match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Atletico-MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.84. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.