Match dossier

Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 19 Sept 2026

Atletico-MG

7th in table · 50 pts

WLLLL

Sat, 19 Sept 202620:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.80

Chapecoense-sc

20th in table · 21 pts

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

65.9%Atletico-MG20.7%Draw13.4%Chapecoense-sc

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc listed tip from the board.

Odds1.80
Confidence55.56%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 65.9%
  • Draw 20.7%
  • Chapecoense-sc 13.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.8056%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGChapecoense-sc
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.1
Wins
144
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico-MG4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 29 OctAtletico-MG0 – 1CruzeiroL
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGL
  • 21 OctAtletico Torque2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 17 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0CoritibaW
  • 14 OctAtletico-MG3 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 3 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0RB BragantinoW
Chapecoense-sc2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovChapecoense-sc1 – 2MirassolL
  • 28 OctRB Bragantino3 – 0Chapecoense-scL
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseW
  • 17 OctBotafogo1 – 0Chapecoense-scL
  • 12 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 4Atletico ParanaenseL
  • 8 OctVitoria4 – 0Chapecoense-scL
  • 26 SeptAtletico Nacional1 – 1Chapecoense-scD
  • 12 SeptChapecoense-sc1 – 2InternacionalL
  • 6 SeptCorinthians1 – 2Chapecoense-scW
H2H
Head to headAtletico-MG 2W · 5D · Chapecoense-sc 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 2 AprChapecoense-sc0 – 4Atletico-MG
  • 6 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 2Atletico-MG
  • 22 JunAtletico-MG1 – 1Chapecoense-sc
  • 30 OctAtletico-MG0 – 2Chapecoense-SC
  • 14 JulChapecoense-SC1 – 2Atletico-MG
  • 6 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 2 JunAtletico-MG3 – 3Chapecoense-sc
  • 16 MayChapecoense-SC0 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 2 MayAtletico-MG0 – 0Chapecoense-SC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico-MG1.46
Draw4.64
Chapecoense-sc7.17

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico-MG

Chance65.9%
Odds1.46

Draw

Chance20.7%
Odds4.64

Chapecoense-sc

Chance13.4%
Odds7.17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.80

Atletico-MGChapecoense-sc
Recent form65%35%
Attack57%43%
Defence67%33%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall83%17%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Atletico-MG meet Chapecoense-sc in the Brazil, Serie A on 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?

Atletico-MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.