Match dossier

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · 16:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WDWWL

Sun, 23 Aug 202616:00

2 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.26

Villarreal

9th in table · 12 pts

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

51.6%Atletico Madrid25.5%Draw22.9%Villarreal

Our prediction

1X · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.26
Confidence79.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 51.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Villarreal 22.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.2679%Won
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2679%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7358%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.3543%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.51.6
Wins
93
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 3 NovAtletico Madrid0 – 2Bayern MünchenL
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
Villarreal5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 3 NovVillarreal0 – 6Paris Saint GermainL
  • 30 OctVillarreal0 – 1EspanyolL
  • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
  • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealL
  • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealL
  • 20 SeptVillarreal3 – 1LevanteW
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Madrid 3W · 4D · Villarreal 2W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 24 MayVillarreal5 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 13 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 0Villarreal
  • 25 JanAtletico Madrid1 – 1Villarreal
  • 19 AugVillarreal2 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 1 AprVillarreal1 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 12 NovAtletico Madrid3 – 1Villarreal
  • 4 JunVillarreal2 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 21 AugAtletico Madrid0 – 2Villarreal
  • 9 JanVillarreal2 – 2Atletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.91
Draw3.86
Villarreal4.31

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico Madrid

Chance51.6%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.86

Villarreal

Chance22.9%
Odds4.31

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.26

Atletico MadridVillarreal
Recent form61%39%
Attack49%51%
Defence64%36%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid conceded 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 23 August 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal match?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.