Match dossier

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 15:15 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WDWWL

Sun, 20 Sept 2026·15:15

2 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 2.03

Real Madrid

3rd in table · 27 pts

WWWWW

Win probability

26.4%Atletico Madrid25.1%Draw48.5%Real Madrid

Our prediction

2 · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds2.03
Confidence49.26%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 26.4%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Real Madrid 48.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 2.0349%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4171%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.1232%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.7836%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridReal Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.83.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.41.2
Wins
99
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovAtletico Madrid0 – 2Bayern MünchenL
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
Real Madrid9W 0D 0L in last 9
  • 4 NovAEK Athens FC2 – 3Real MadridW
  • 1 NovRacing Santander0 – 3Real MadridW
  • 25 OctBarcelona1 – 2Real MadridW
  • 21 OctReal Madrid4 – 1RB LeipzigW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealW
  • 15 SeptElche2 – 3Real MadridW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Madrid 3W · 3D · Real Madrid 3W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 22 MarReal Madrid3 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 8 JanAtletico Madrid1 – 2Real Madrid
  • 27 SeptAtletico Madrid5 – 2Real Madrid
  • 12 MarAtletico Madrid1 – 0Real Madrid
  • 4 MarReal Madrid2 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 8 FebReal Madrid1 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 29 SeptAtletico Madrid1 – 1Real Madrid
  • 4 FebReal Madrid1 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 18 JanAtletico Madrid4 – 2Real Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico Madrid3.72
Draw3.92
Real Madrid2.03

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico Madrid

Chance26.4%
Odds3.72

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.92

Real Madrid

Chance48.5%
Odds2.03

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.03

Atletico MadridReal Madrid
Recent form45%55%
Attack37%63%
Defence59%41%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid conceded 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 2.03. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid match?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.03. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.