Match dossier

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 16 Sept 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaWed, 16 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WDWWL

Wed, 16 Sept 202618:00

4 : 0

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.20

Osasuna

15th in table · 11 pts

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

67.9%Atletico Madrid20.2%Draw11.9%Osasuna

Our prediction

1 · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.20
Confidence83.33%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 67.9%
  • Draw 20.2%
  • Osasuna 11.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1Odds 1.2083%Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.4171%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7457%Won
  • Correct Score Tips3-2Odds 21.005%Lost
  • Banker of the Day1Odds 1.2083%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.2083%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1447%Lost
  • Single Bet1Odds 1.2083%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridOsasuna
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.9
Wins
93
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovAtletico Madrid0 – 2Bayern MünchenL
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
Osasuna3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 2 NovDeportivo La Coruna2 – 1OsasunaL
  • 29 OctAtletico Calatayud0 – 6OsasunaW
  • 26 OctSevilla2 – 0OsasunaL
  • 18 OctOsasuna2 – 0Racing SantanderW
  • 11 OctReal Betis5 – 2OsasunaL
  • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 12 SeptOsasuna0 – 2EspanyolL
  • 6 SeptAlaves5 – 2OsasunaL
  • 31 AugOsasuna1 – 0GetafeW
H2H
Head to headAtletico Madrid 7W · 0D · Osasuna 2W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 12 MayOsasuna1 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 18 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Osasuna
  • 15 MayOsasuna2 – 0Atletico Madrid
  • 12 JanAtletico Madrid1 – 0Osasuna
  • 19 MayAtletico Madrid1 – 4Osasuna
  • 28 SeptOsasuna0 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 21 MayAtletico Madrid3 – 0Osasuna
  • 29 JanOsasuna0 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 19 FebOsasuna0 – 3Atletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.45
Draw4.88
Osasuna8.3

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico Madrid

Chance67.9%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance20.2%
Odds4.88

Osasuna

Chance11.9%
Odds8.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.20

Atletico MadridOsasuna
Recent form69%31%
Attack48%52%
Defence69%31%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall85%15%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 16 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Osasuna in the Spain, La Liga on 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 16 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.