Match dossier

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 19 Aug 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaWed, 19 Aug 2026

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WDWWL

Wed, 19 Aug 2026·20:00

2 : 0

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.18

Malaga

20th in table · 5 pts

DLDWL

Win probability

73.9%Atletico Madrid17.4%Draw8.6%Malaga

Our prediction

1 · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence84.75%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 73.9%
  • Draw 17.4%
  • Malaga 8.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1Odds 1.1885%Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.3375%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7956%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3475%Lost
  • Banker of the Day1Odds 1.3375%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.1885%Won

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridMalaga
Goals scored (avg)
1.81
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.51.8
Wins
90
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 3 NovAtletico Madrid0 – 2Bayern MünchenL
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
Malaga1W 4D 5L in last 10
  • 31 OctReal Betis2 – 1MalagaL
  • 27 OctAlcazar0 – 3MalagaW
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadL
  • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
  • 20 SeptGetafe1 – 0MalagaL
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealL
  • 13 SeptCelta Vigo1 – 1MalagaD
  • 6 SeptMalaga0 – 0LevanteD
  • 30 AugReal Madrid4 – 0MalagaL
H2H
Head to headAtletico Madrid 6W · 2D · Malaga 1W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 10 FebMalaga0 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid1 – 0Malaga
  • 1 AprMalaga0 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 29 OctAtletico Madrid4 – 2Malaga
  • 23 AprAtletico Madrid1 – 0Malaga
  • 20 DecMalaga1 – 0Atletico Madrid
  • 11 AprMalaga2 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 22 NovAtletico Madrid3 – 1Malaga
  • 11 MayAtletico Madrid1 – 1Malaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.33
Draw5.64
Malaga11.4

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico Madrid

Chance73.9%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance17.4%
Odds5.64

Malaga

Chance8.6%
Odds11.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.18

Atletico MadridMalaga
Recent form78%22%
Attack64%36%
Defence68%32%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall90%10%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid conceded 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 19 Aug 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Malaga in the Spain, La Liga on 19 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico Madrid vs Malaga match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico Madrid vs Malaga?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.