Match dossier

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 15:15 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club

7th in table · 15 pts

DLWWW

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:15

3 : 0

Full timeTip: X · 3.56

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Athletic Club27.7%Draw41.6%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

X · Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.56
Confidence66.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Athletic Club 30.7%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Atletico Madrid 41.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.5666%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2679%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7736%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.4171%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.5
Wins
49
Played
1011

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Athletic Club4W 3D 1L in last 8
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadW
  • 29 OctPrat1 – 6Athletic ClubW
  • 25 OctAthletic Club4 – 0GetafeW
  • 21 OctLevante3 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 17 OctValencia0 – 0Athletic ClubD
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubW
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 12 SeptAthletic Club1 – 1ElcheD
Atletico Madrid8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
  • 9 SeptLiverpool2 – 1Atletico MadridL
H2H
Head to headAthletic Club 4W · 0D · Atletico Madrid 5W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 25 AprAtletico Madrid3 – 2Athletic Club
  • 6 DecAthletic Club1 – 0Atletico Madrid
  • 1 MarAtletico Madrid1 – 0Athletic Club
  • 31 AugAthletic Club0 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 27 AprAtletico Madrid3 – 1Athletic Club
  • 29 FebAthletic Club3 – 0Atletico Madrid
  • 7 FebAtletico Madrid0 – 1Athletic Club
  • 16 DecAthletic Club2 – 0Atletico Madrid
  • 19 FebAtletico Madrid1 – 0Athletic Club

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Athletic Club3.21
Draw3.56
Atletico Madrid2.37

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Athletic Club

Chance30.7%
Odds3.21

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.56

Atletico Madrid

Chance41.6%
Odds2.37

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.56

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
Recent form38%62%
Attack50%50%
Defence47%53%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Athletic Club scored 1.9 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Athletic Club conceded 0.8 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 8.

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 5 September 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.37. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid match?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.37. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.