Match dossier

Atalanta vs Pafos Predictions

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Atalanta

15th in table · 3 pts

LLDDL

Thu, 15 Oct 202620:00

3 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 2.13

Pafos

27th in table · 1 pts

WDDDD

Pre-match win probability

70.8%Atalanta18.6%Draw10.6%Pafos

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Atalanta

Atalanta vs Pafos listed tip from the board.

Odds2.13
Confidence46.95%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 70.8%
  • Draw 18.6%
  • Pafos 10.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1347%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaPafos
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.30.7
Wins
10
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atalanta1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 2 NovAtalanta0 – 3ParmaL
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaL
  • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
  • 20 SeptJuventus2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 12 SeptAtalanta1 – 2CagliariL
  • 5 SeptAS Roma2 – 1AtalantaL
Pafos3W 5D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctApollon Limassol2 – 2PafosD
  • 26 OctNea Salamis0 – 0PafosD
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 19 OctPafos0 – 0Apoel NicosiaD
  • 11 OctAnorthosis1 – 3PafosW
  • 18 SeptPafos0 – 2AELL
  • 13 SeptAEK Larnaca0 – 1PafosW
  • 7 SeptPafos0 – 0OlympiakosD
  • 3 SeptOmonia Nicosia0 – 1PafosW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atalanta1.36
Draw5.19
Pafos9.05

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atalanta

Chance70.8%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance18.6%
Odds5.19

Pafos

Chance10.6%
Odds9.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 2.13

AtalantaPafos
Recent form26%74%
Attack61%39%
Defence23%77%
Goals model61%39%
Overall87%13%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Atalanta vs Pafos: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Atalanta meet Pafos in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atalanta vs Pafos FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atalanta vs Pafos match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atalanta vs Pafos?

Atalanta is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.