Match dossier

AS Roma vs Atalanta Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 5 Sept 2026

AS Roma

3rd in table · 24 pts

WDWWL

Sat, 5 Sept 202619:45

2 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 3.5 · 1.80

Atalanta

13th in table · 11 pts

LLDDL

Pre-match win probability

55.3%AS Roma25.2%Draw19.5%Atalanta

Our prediction

Over 3.5 · AS Roma

AS Roma vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.80
Confidence55.56%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AS Roma 55.3%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • Atalanta 19.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7237%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4071%Won

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AS RomaAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.62.2
Wins
73
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AS Roma5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 3 NovManchester United3 – 2AS RomaL
  • 31 OctUdinese2 – 5AS RomaW
  • 27 OctAS Roma4 – 2CagliariW
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctAS Roma4 – 0Slovan BratislavaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridL
  • 11 OctComo0 – 0AS RomaD
  • 19 SeptAS Roma2 – 2InterD
  • 14 SeptTorino0 – 2AS RomaW
Atalanta2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 2 NovAtalanta0 – 3ParmaL
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaL
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosW
  • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
  • 20 SeptJuventus2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 12 SeptAtalanta1 – 2CagliariL
H2H
Head to headAS Roma 1W · 2D · Atalanta 6W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 18 AprAS Roma1 – 1Atalanta
  • 3 JanAtalanta1 – 0AS Roma
  • 12 MayAtalanta2 – 1AS Roma
  • 2 DecAS Roma0 – 2Atalanta
  • 12 MayAtalanta2 – 1AS Roma
  • 7 JanAS Roma1 – 1Atalanta
  • 24 AprAtalanta3 – 1AS Roma
  • 18 SeptAS Roma0 – 1Atalanta
  • 5 MarAS Roma1 – 0Atalanta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

AS Roma1.78
Draw3.9
Atalanta5.06

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

AS Roma

Chance55.3%
Odds1.78

Draw

Chance25.2%
Odds3.9

Atalanta

Chance19.5%
Odds5.06

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 3.5 at 1.80

AS RomaAtalanta
Recent form69%31%
Attack61%39%
Defence64%36%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

AS Roma scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

AS Roma conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

AS Roma vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

AS Roma meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 5 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AS Roma at 1.78. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AS Roma vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AS Roma vs Atalanta match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AS Roma vs Atalanta?

AS Roma is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.78. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.