Match dossier

Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 6 Sept 2026 · 16:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Arsenal

1st in table · 24 pts

WDWDW

Sun, 6 Sept 202616:30

2 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.19

Chelsea

4th in table · 16 pts

WWLDW

Pre-match win probability

56.2%Arsenal25%Draw18.8%Chelsea

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Chelsea listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 56.2%
  • Draw 25%
  • Chelsea 18.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2083%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6660%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7657%Won
  • Single Bet1XOdds 1.2083%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3773%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1147%Lost
  • Correct Score Tips3-3Odds 46.002%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalChelsea
Goals scored (avg)
1.82.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.7
Wins
85
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Arsenal7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovLiverpool0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 27 OctFleetwood Town1 – 1ArsenalD
  • 24 OctArsenal2 – 0EvertonW
  • 21 OctBayern München2 – 2ArsenalD
  • 18 OctNottingham Forest0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleW
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsW
  • 19 SeptBrighton3 – 0ArsenalL
  • 15 SeptIpswich2 – 4ArsenalW
  • 12 SeptSunderland0 – 2ArsenalW
Chelsea5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 24 OctChelsea0 – 2TottenhamL
  • 17 OctEverton0 – 2ChelseaW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthW
  • 18 SeptBrentford3 – 0ChelseaL
  • 12 SeptChelsea2 – 2Hull CityD
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsW
  • 30 AugChelsea4 – 3BrightonW
H2H
Head to headArsenal 6W · 3D · Chelsea 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 1 MarArsenal2 – 1Chelsea
  • 3 FebArsenal1 – 0Chelsea
  • 14 JanChelsea2 – 3Arsenal
  • 30 NovChelsea1 – 1Arsenal
  • 16 MarArsenal1 – 0Chelsea
  • 10 NovChelsea1 – 1Arsenal
  • 23 AprArsenal5 – 0Chelsea
  • 21 OctChelsea2 – 2Arsenal
  • 2 MayArsenal3 – 1Chelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Arsenal1.75
Draw3.94
Chelsea5.23

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Arsenal

Chance56.2%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.94

Chelsea

Chance18.8%
Odds5.23

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.19

ArsenalChelsea
Recent form57%43%
Attack43%57%
Defence62%38%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Arsenal scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Arsenal conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Arsenal meet Chelsea in the England, Premier League on 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Chelsea FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Arsenal vs Chelsea match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Arsenal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.