Match dossier

Alaves vs Villarreal Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Fri, 28 Aug 2026 · 20:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaFri, 28 Aug 2026

Alaves

11th in table · 12 pts

DLLDL

Fri, 28 Aug 202620:30

vs

Not startedTip: Over 1.5 · 1.23

Villarreal

9th in table · 12 pts

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

30.9%Alaves27.2%Draw41.9%Villarreal

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Alaves

Alaves vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.23
Confidence81.30%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 30.9%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Villarreal 41.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.2381%Pending
  • DrawsXOdds 3.6264%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6361%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2381%Pending
  • Banker of the DayGGOdds 1.6361%Pending
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3872%Pending
  • Win Either Half1Odds 2.0050%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.4241%Pending

Season statistics

La Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.6
Wins
33
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alaves1W 2D 5L in last 8
  • 31 OctBarcelona6 – 1AlavesL
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctCelta Vigo2 – 1AlavesL
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridL
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 15 SeptAlaves0 – 1ValenciaL
  • 12 SeptRacing Santander2 – 1AlavesL
  • 6 SeptAlaves5 – 2OsasunaW
Villarreal5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 3 NovVillarreal0 – 6Paris Saint GermainL
  • 30 OctVillarreal0 – 1EspanyolL
  • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
  • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealL
  • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealL
  • 20 SeptVillarreal3 – 1LevanteW
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealW
H2H
Head to headAlaves 3W · 3D · Villarreal 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 13 MarAlaves1 – 1Villarreal
  • 10 JanVillarreal3 – 1Alaves
  • 8 MarAlaves1 – 0Villarreal
  • 9 NovVillarreal3 – 0Alaves
  • 10 FebAlaves1 – 1Villarreal
  • 22 OctVillarreal1 – 1Alaves
  • 30 AprAlaves2 – 1Villarreal
  • 21 DecVillarreal5 – 2Alaves
  • 21 AprAlaves2 – 1Villarreal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Alaves3.19
Draw3.62
Villarreal2.35

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Alaves

Chance30.9%
Odds3.19

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.62

Villarreal

Chance41.9%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.23

AlavesVillarreal
Recent form24%76%
Attack41%59%
Defence42%58%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Alaves scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Alaves conceded 2 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Alaves vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Alaves meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 28 August 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alaves vs Villarreal match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alaves vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.