Match dossier

Alaves vs Valencia Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Tue, 15 Sept 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaTue, 15 Sept 2026

Alaves

11th in table · 12 pts

DLLDL

Tue, 15 Sept 202619:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.44

Valencia

19th in table · 9 pts

LDDLW

Pre-match win probability

50.3%Alaves29.1%Draw20.6%Valencia

Our prediction

1 · Alaves

Alaves vs Valencia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 50.3%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Valencia 20.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1Odds 1.4469%Lost
  • Banker of the Day1Odds 1.4469%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8036%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.6038%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesValencia
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.9
Wins
32
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alaves2W 2D 4L in last 8
  • 31 OctBarcelona6 – 1AlavesL
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctCelta Vigo2 – 1AlavesL
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridL
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 12 SeptRacing Santander2 – 1AlavesL
  • 6 SeptAlaves5 – 2OsasunaW
  • 28 AugAlaves1 – 0VillarrealW
Valencia1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovElche0 – 1ValenciaW
  • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealL
  • 17 OctValencia0 – 0Athletic ClubD
  • 11 OctRacing Santander2 – 2ValenciaD
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadL
  • 11 SeptSevilla1 – 0ValenciaL
  • 6 SeptValencia0 – 5BarcelonaL
  • 30 AugDeportivo La Coruna3 – 1ValenciaL
  • 25 AugValencia0 – 1Real BetisL
H2H
Head to headAlaves 5W · 2D · Valencia 2W · 2 goals a game
  • 8 MarValencia3 – 2Alaves
  • 20 OctAlaves0 – 0Valencia
  • 14 MayAlaves1 – 0Valencia
  • 22 DecValencia2 – 2Alaves
  • 24 JulValencia0 – 1Alaves
  • 5 MayValencia0 – 1Alaves
  • 2 SeptAlaves1 – 0Valencia
  • 29 JulValencia2 – 0Alaves
  • 13 FebAlaves2 – 1Valencia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Alaves1.96
Draw3.38
Valencia4.78

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Alaves

Chance50.3%
Odds1.96

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.38

Valencia

Chance20.6%
Odds4.78

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.44

AlavesValencia
Recent form62%38%
Attack64%36%
Defence50%50%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Alaves scored 1.4 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Alaves conceded 1.9 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 8.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

Alaves vs Valencia: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Alaves meet Valencia in the Spain, La Liga on 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alaves at 1.96. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Valencia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alaves vs Valencia match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alaves vs Valencia?

Alaves is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.96. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.