Match dossier

Alaves vs Malaga Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaFri, 23 Oct 2026

Alaves

11th in table · 12 pts

LDLLL

Fri, 23 Oct 202620:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.22

Malaga

20th in table · 5 pts

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

53.5%Alaves26.5%Draw20%Malaga

Our prediction

1X · Alaves

Alaves vs Malaga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence53.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 53.5%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Malaga 20%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.22Won
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2282%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8535%Lost
  • Banker of the DayOver 1.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • Correct Score Tips2-1Odds 7.5013%Lost
  • Single Bet1XOdds 1.2282%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.3343%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesMalaga
Goals scored (avg)
1.31
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.9
Wins
30
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alaves2W 1D 5L in last 8
  • 31 OctBarcelona6 – 1AlavesL
  • 18 OctCelta Vigo2 – 1AlavesL
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridL
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 15 SeptAlaves0 – 1ValenciaL
  • 12 SeptRacing Santander2 – 1AlavesL
  • 6 SeptAlaves5 – 2OsasunaW
  • 28 AugAlaves1 – 0VillarrealW
Malaga1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctReal Betis2 – 1MalagaL
  • 27 OctAlcazar0 – 3MalagaW
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadL
  • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
  • 20 SeptGetafe1 – 0MalagaL
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealL
  • 13 SeptCelta Vigo1 – 1MalagaD
  • 6 SeptMalaga0 – 0LevanteD
  • 30 AugReal Madrid4 – 0MalagaL
H2H
Head to headAlaves 4W · 1D · Malaga 1W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 20 MayAlaves2 – 1Malaga
  • 18 DecMalaga1 – 0Alaves
  • 6 MayMalaga0 – 3Alaves
  • 21 DecAlaves1 – 0Malaga
  • 11 MarMalaga1 – 2Alaves
  • 16 OctAlaves1 – 1Malaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Alaves1.84
Draw3.72
Malaga4.93

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Alaves

Chance53.5%
Odds1.84

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.72

Malaga

Chance20%
Odds4.93

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

AlavesMalaga
Recent form54%46%
Attack57%43%
Defence50%50%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Alaves scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Alaves conceded 1.9 per game in the last 8.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

Alaves vs Malaga: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

Alaves meet Malaga in the Spain, La Liga on 23 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alaves at 1.84. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Malaga FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alaves vs Malaga match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alaves vs Malaga?

Alaves is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.84. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.