Match dossier

Ajax vs Willem II Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Tue, 15 Sept 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Netherlands · EredivisieTue, 15 Sept 2026

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

LWWWW

Tue, 15 Sept 202619:00

5 : 1

Full timeTip: GG · 1.76

Willem II

18th in table · 2 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

83.4%Ajax10.6%Draw6%Willem II

Our prediction

GG · Ajax

Ajax vs Willem II listed tip from the board.

Odds1.76
Confidence56.82%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 83.4%
  • Draw 10.6%
  • Willem II 6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7657%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.4768%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxWillem II
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.33.2
Wins
70
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
Willem II1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctPSV Eindhoven7 – 0Willem IIL
  • 27 OctHelmond Sport3 – 4Willem IIW
  • 24 OctWillem II1 – 6CambuurL
  • 17 OctSparta Rotterdam3 – 2Willem IIL
  • 11 OctUtrecht3 – 1Willem IIL
  • 19 SeptWillem II0 – 1Fortuna SittardL
  • 11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Willem IID
  • 5 SeptWillem II0 – 3ExcelsiorL
  • 30 AugWillem II2 – 2HeerenveenD
H2H
Head to headAjax 6W · 1D · Willem II 1W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 13 AprWillem II1 – 2Ajax
  • 27 OctAjax1 – 0Willem II
  • 19 FebWillem II0 – 1Ajax
  • 2 DecAjax5 – 0Willem II
  • 28 JanAjax3 – 1Willem II
  • 23 DecWillem II1 – 1Ajax
  • 6 DecAjax0 – 2Willem II
  • 5 MayWillem II0 – 4Ajax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax1.15
Draw9.05
Willem II16

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance83.4%
Odds1.15

Draw

Chance10.6%
Odds9.05

Willem II

Chance6%
Odds16

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.76

AjaxWillem II
Recent form77%23%
Attack65%35%
Defence94%6%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head81%19%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Ajax vs Willem II: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Ajax meet Willem II in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 83.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Willem II FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs Willem II match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs Willem II?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 83.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.