Match dossier

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

LWWWW

Sat, 10 Oct 202620:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.31

NEC Nijmegen

13th in table · 11 pts

DDWDL

Pre-match win probability

73.1%Ajax16%Draw10.9%NEC Nijmegen

Our prediction

1 · Ajax

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.31
Confidence76.34%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 73.1%
  • Draw 16%
  • NEC Nijmegen 10.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.3176%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4967%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.1785%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2045%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.32.1
Wins
72
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
NEC Nijmegen1W 5D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctHeerenveen1 – 0NEC NijmegenL
  • 25 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2GroningenD
  • 22 OctDinamo Zagreb2 – 4NEC NijmegenW
  • 18 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2Fortuna SittardD
  • 15 OctNEC Nijmegen1 – 1Levski SofiaD
  • 20 SeptNEC Nijmegen1 – 1GO Ahead EaglesD
  • 17 SeptJuventus5 – 0NEC NijmegenL
  • 12 SeptCambuur3 – 0NEC NijmegenL
  • 8 SeptNEC Nijmegen2 – 2ExcelsiorD
H2H
Head to headAjax 4W · 4D · NEC Nijmegen 1W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 21 FebAjax1 – 1NEC Nijmegen
  • 20 DecNEC Nijmegen2 – 2Ajax
  • 11 MayAjax0 – 3NEC Nijmegen
  • 1 DecNEC Nijmegen1 – 2Ajax
  • 18 FebAjax2 – 2NEC Nijmegen
  • 3 DecNEC Nijmegen1 – 2Ajax
  • 5 MarAjax1 – 0NEC Nijmegen
  • 8 JanNEC Nijmegen1 – 1Ajax
  • 23 AprNEC Nijmegen0 – 1Ajax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax1.31
Draw5.99
NEC Nijmegen8.8

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance73.1%
Odds1.31

Draw

Chance16%
Odds5.99

NEC Nijmegen

Chance10.9%
Odds8.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.31

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Recent form70%30%
Attack68%32%
Defence65%35%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall87%13%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Ajax meet NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.31. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.31. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.