Match dossier

Ajax vs Heerenveen Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · 15:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

LWWWW

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:45

2 : 2

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.46

Heerenveen

7th in table · 18 pts

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

65.7%Ajax19.6%Draw14.7%Heerenveen

Our prediction

1 · Ajax

Ajax vs Heerenveen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.46
Confidence68.49%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 65.7%
  • Draw 19.6%
  • Heerenveen 14.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1Odds 1.4668%Lost
  • Home Win1Odds 1.4668%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.8056%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.2282%Won

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxHeerenveen
Goals scored (avg)
2.51.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.1
Wins
75
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
Heerenveen5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctHeerenveen1 – 0NEC NijmegenW
  • 28 OctExcelsior Maassluis0 – 2HeerenveenW
  • 24 OctADO Den Haag2 – 3HeerenveenW
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorW
  • 9 OctPSV Eindhoven2 – 0HeerenveenL
  • 19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0 – 4HeerenveenW
  • 13 SeptHeerenveen0 – 0TelstarD
  • 6 SeptHeerenveen2 – 3AZ AlkmaarL
  • 30 AugWillem II2 – 2HeerenveenD
  • 22 AugHeerenveen0 – 2PEC ZwolleL
H2H
Head to headAjax 6W · 2D · Heerenveen 1W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 17 MayHeerenveen0 – 0Ajax
  • 1 NovAjax1 – 1Heerenveen
  • 19 JanHeerenveen0 – 2Ajax
  • 11 AugAjax1 – 0Heerenveen
  • 11 FebHeerenveen3 – 2Ajax
  • 5 NovAjax4 – 1Heerenveen
  • 12 MarHeerenveen2 – 4Ajax
  • 10 SeptAjax5 – 0Heerenveen
  • 11 MayAjax5 – 0Heerenveen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax1.46
Draw4.88
Heerenveen6.53

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance65.7%
Odds1.46

Draw

Chance19.6%
Odds4.88

Heerenveen

Chance14.7%
Odds6.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.46

AjaxHeerenveen
Recent form54%46%
Attack58%42%
Defence47%53%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Ajax vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Ajax meet Heerenveen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 16 August 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Heerenveen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs Heerenveen match?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs Heerenveen?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.