Match dossier

Ajax vs Excelsior Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 19 Sept 2026

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

LWWWW

Sat, 19 Sept 202619:00

2 : 2

Full timeTip: GG · 1.55

Excelsior

15th in table · 11 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

77.3%Ajax13.3%Draw9.4%Excelsior

Our prediction

GG · Ajax

Ajax vs Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence64.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 77.3%
  • Draw 13.3%
  • Excelsior 9.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5565%Won
  • free 2 oddsOver 2.5Odds 1.65Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.5764%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxExcelsior
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.7
Wins
73
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
Excelsior3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovExcelsior0 – 9TwenteL
  • 28 OctMVV0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenL
  • 13 SeptExcelsior1 – 2UtrechtL
  • 8 SeptNEC Nijmegen2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 5 SeptWillem II0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 29 AugExcelsior2 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
H2H
Head to headAjax 5W · 3D · Excelsior 1W · 5.2 goals a game
  • 1 FebExcelsior2 – 2Ajax
  • 22 NovAjax1 – 2Excelsior
  • 24 AprAjax2 – 2Excelsior
  • 19 AugExcelsior2 – 2Ajax
  • 29 JanExcelsior1 – 4Ajax
  • 16 OctAjax7 – 1Excelsior
  • 13 AprAjax6 – 2Excelsior
  • 11 NovExcelsior1 – 7Ajax
  • 6 MayExcelsior1 – 2Ajax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax1.24
Draw7.18
Excelsior10.2

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance77.3%
Odds1.24

Draw

Chance13.3%
Odds7.18

Excelsior

Chance9.4%
Odds10.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.55

AjaxExcelsior
Recent form66%34%
Attack67%33%
Defence86%14%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall89%11%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Ajax vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Ajax meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.24. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs Excelsior match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs Excelsior?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.24. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.