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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 31 Oct 2026

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

DLWWW

Sat, 31 Oct 202621:00

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.22

AZ Alkmaar

5th in table · 20 pts

LWDWL

Pre-match win probability

57.1%Ajax20.8%Draw22.1%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

1X · Ajax

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence81.97%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 57.1%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • AZ Alkmaar 22.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2282%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.3872%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.3375%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.5340%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.2
Wins
76
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
AZ Alkmaar4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctAZ Alkmaar0 – 2TwenteL
  • 22 OctArarat-Armenia0 – 4AZ AlkmaarW
  • 18 OctCambuur2 – 2AZ AlkmaarD
  • 15 OctAZ Alkmaar2 – 1Hapoel Beer ShevaW
  • 10 OctFeyenoord2 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 20 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 0TelstarW
  • 16 SeptSunderland1 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Willem IID
  • 6 SeptHeerenveen2 – 3AZ AlkmaarW
H2H
Head to headAjax 0W · 3D · AZ Alkmaar 6W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 8 FebAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Ajax
  • 14 JanAZ Alkmaar6 – 0Ajax
  • 18 OctAjax0 – 2AZ Alkmaar
  • 16 MarAjax2 – 2AZ Alkmaar
  • 14 JanAZ Alkmaar2 – 0Ajax
  • 8 DecAZ Alkmaar2 – 1Ajax
  • 25 FebAZ Alkmaar2 – 0Ajax
  • 8 OctAjax1 – 2AZ Alkmaar
  • 6 MayAjax0 – 0AZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax1.68
Draw4.61
AZ Alkmaar4.35

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance57.1%
Odds1.68

Draw

Chance20.8%
Odds4.61

AZ Alkmaar

Chance22.1%
Odds4.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
Recent form55%45%
Attack66%34%
Defence47%53%
Goals model66%34%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Ajax conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 31 Oct 2026

Ajax meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.68. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 31 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.68. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.