Match dossier

Ajax vs Atalanta Predictions

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 22 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Ajax

13th in table · 3 pts

DLWWW

Thu, 22 Oct 202620:00

2 : 0

Full timeTip: GG · 1.43

Atalanta

15th in table · 3 pts

WLDDL

Pre-match win probability

45.6%Ajax25.3%Draw29.1%Atalanta

Our prediction

GG · Ajax

Ajax vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.43
Confidence69.93%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 45.6%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Atalanta 29.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4370%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9534%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.5764%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.2
Wins
11
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
Atalanta2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 2 NovAtalanta0 – 3ParmaL
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaL
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosW
  • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
  • 20 SeptJuventus2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 12 SeptAtalanta1 – 2CagliariL
  • 5 SeptAS Roma2 – 1AtalantaL
H2H
Head to headAjax 0W · 1D · Atalanta 1W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 9 DecAjax0 – 1Atalanta
  • 27 OctAtalanta2 – 2Ajax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Ajax2.12
Draw3.82
Atalanta3.32

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Ajax

Chance45.6%
Odds2.12

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.82

Atalanta

Chance29.1%
Odds3.32

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.43

AjaxAtalanta
Recent form68%32%
Attack59%41%
Defence67%33%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Ajax scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Ajax conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa Conference League

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Ajax vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Ajax meet Atalanta in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 2.12. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Ajax vs Atalanta match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 22 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Ajax vs Atalanta?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.12. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.