Match dossier

AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 20 Sept 2026

AC Milan

5th in table · 21 pts

WLWLW

Sun, 20 Sept 202619:45

3 : 0

LiveTip: Over 6.5 · 2.04

Lecce

14th in table · 9 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

74.8%AC Milan16.5%Draw8.6%Lecce

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Lecce listed tip from the board.

Odds2.04
Confidence49.02%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 74.8%
  • Draw 16.5%
  • Lecce 8.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.0449%Pending
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.5764%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanLecce
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.72
Wins
63
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AC Milan4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctAC Milan3 – 1InterW
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaL
  • 25 OctUdinese0 – 2AC MilanW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaW
  • 15 OctRed Bull Salzburg0 – 4AC MilanW
  • 11 OctSassuolo1 – 1AC MilanD
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaL
  • 12 SeptLazio2 – 2AC MilanD
Lecce3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaL
  • 29 OctFrosinone5 – 1LecceL
  • 25 OctLecce0 – 2JuventusL
  • 18 OctUdinese0 – 3LecceW
  • 11 OctLecce1 – 2BolognaL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaW
  • 7 SeptCagliari1 – 0LecceL
  • 31 AugLecce0 – 4AS RomaL
  • 23 AugVenezia0 – 2LecceW
H2H
Head to headAC Milan 7W · 2D · Lecce 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 18 JanAC Milan1 – 0Lecce
  • 23 SeptAC Milan3 – 0Lecce
  • 29 AugLecce0 – 2AC Milan
  • 8 MarLecce2 – 3AC Milan
  • 27 SeptAC Milan3 – 0Lecce
  • 6 AprAC Milan3 – 0Lecce
  • 11 NovLecce2 – 2AC Milan
  • 23 AprAC Milan2 – 0Lecce
  • 14 JanLecce2 – 2AC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

AC Milan1.27
Draw5.75
Lecce11

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

AC Milan

Chance74.8%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance16.5%
Odds5.75

Lecce

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 2.04

AC MilanLecce
Recent form61%39%
Attack61%39%
Defence57%43%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head89%11%
Overall90%10%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

AC Milan scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

AC Milan conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

AC Milan vs Lecce: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

AC Milan meet Lecce in the Italy, Serie A on 20 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Lecce FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AC Milan vs Lecce match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AC Milan vs Lecce?

AC Milan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.