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AC Milan vs Atalanta Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026

AC Milan

5th in table · 21 pts

WLWLW

Sun, 18 Oct 202617:00

3 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.25

Atalanta

13th in table · 11 pts

WLDDL

Pre-match win probability

52.9%AC Milan25%Draw22.1%Atalanta

Our prediction

1X · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence80.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 52.9%
  • Draw 25%
  • Atalanta 22.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2580%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.5764%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7337%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.1
Wins
63
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AC Milan4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctAC Milan3 – 1InterW
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaL
  • 25 OctUdinese0 – 2AC MilanW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanL
  • 15 OctRed Bull Salzburg0 – 4AC MilanW
  • 11 OctSassuolo1 – 1AC MilanD
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceW
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaL
  • 12 SeptLazio2 – 2AC MilanD
Atalanta2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 2 NovAtalanta0 – 3ParmaL
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosW
  • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
  • 20 SeptJuventus2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 12 SeptAtalanta1 – 2CagliariL
  • 5 SeptAS Roma2 – 1AtalantaL
H2H
Head to headAC Milan 1W · 3D · Atalanta 5W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 10 MayAC Milan2 – 3Atalanta
  • 28 OctAtalanta1 – 1AC Milan
  • 20 AprAC Milan0 – 1Atalanta
  • 6 DecAtalanta2 – 1AC Milan
  • 25 FebAC Milan1 – 1Atalanta
  • 10 JanAC Milan1 – 2Atalanta
  • 9 DecAtalanta3 – 2AC Milan
  • 26 FebAC Milan2 – 0Atalanta
  • 21 AugAtalanta1 – 1AC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

AC Milan1.86
Draw3.93
Atalanta4.46

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

AC Milan

Chance52.9%
Odds1.86

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.93

Atalanta

Chance22.1%
Odds4.46

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

AC MilanAtalanta
Recent form64%36%
Attack54%46%
Defence64%36%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

AC Milan scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

AC Milan conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

AC Milan vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

AC Milan meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.86. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AC Milan vs Atalanta match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

AC Milan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.86. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.