Match dossier

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Predictions

Norway · Eliteserien · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Norway · EliteserienSun, 11 Oct 2026

Aalesund

14th in table · 24 pts

WWLWL

Sun, 11 Oct 202616:00

2 : 4

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.48

Sarpsborg 08 FF

9th in table · 31 pts

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

38.4%Aalesund25.6%Draw36.1%Sarpsborg 08 FF

Our prediction

1X · Aalesund

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF listed tip from the board.

Odds1.48
Confidence67.57%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aalesund 38.4%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF 36.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.4868%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.3475%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2544%Lost

Season statistics

Eliteserien · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
58
Played
2525

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aalesund5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctAalesund3 – 4SandefjordL
  • 28 OctKristiansund BK0 – 2AalesundW
  • 25 OctSarpsborg 08 FF2 – 1AalesundL
  • 17 OctKristiansund BK1 – 4AalesundW
  • 19 SeptMolde1 – 2AalesundW
  • 16 SeptFørde3 – 4AalesundW
  • 13 SeptKFUM Oslo2 – 1AalesundL
  • 4 SeptAalesund2 – 0StartW
  • 30 AugViking2 – 1AalesundL
Sarpsborg 08 FF3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovSarpsborg 08 FF2 – 4Kristiansund BKL
  • 28 OctSarpsborg 08 FF3 – 2ValerengaW
  • 25 OctSarpsborg 08 FF2 – 1AalesundW
  • 18 OctSarpsborg 08 FF0 – 3RosenborgL
  • 30 SeptFollo0 – 2Sarpsborg 08 FFW
  • 18 SeptSarpsborg 08 FF1 – 3KFUM OsloL
  • 13 SeptFredrikstad1 – 1Sarpsborg 08 FFD
  • 6 SeptSarpsborg 08 FF2 – 2ValerengaD
  • 30 AugTromso0 – 0Sarpsborg 08 FFD
H2H
Head to headAalesund 2W · 0D · Sarpsborg 08 FF 7W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 25 OctSarpsborg 08 FF2 – 1Aalesund
  • 22 OctAalesund3 – 2Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 29 MaySarpsborg 08 FF3 – 1Aalesund
  • 11 SeptAalesund1 – 3Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 22 MaySarpsborg 08 FF1 – 2Aalesund
  • 13 SeptAalesund0 – 1Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2 AugSarpsborg 08 FF4 – 0Aalesund
  • 19 NovSarpsborg 08 FF1 – 0Aalesund
  • 5 AprAalesund1 – 3Sarpsborg 08 FF

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Aalesund2.49
Draw3.74
Sarpsborg 08 FF2.65

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Aalesund

Chance38.4%
Odds2.49

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.74

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Chance36.1%
Odds2.65

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.48

AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
Recent form56%44%
Attack61%39%
Defence52%48%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · Eliteserien

Aalesund scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eliteserien

Aalesund conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eliteserien

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eliteserien

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction & preview

Norway · Eliteserien · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Aalesund meet Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Norway, Eliteserien on 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aalesund at 2.49. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF match?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Aalesund is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.49. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.